House Predictions for 2006

Here are my final predictions for the House races that will be decided on Tuesday, November 7th, 2006. I may change some of these as events warrant but I won't be changing very many of them.

Arizona 1: Rep. Rick Renzi (R) will win reelection over Ellen Simon (D)
Arizona 5: Rep. J.D. Hayworth (R) will win reelection over Harry Mitchell (D)
Arizona 8: Gabrielle Giffords (D) will defeat Randy Graf (R)
California 4: Rep. John Doolittle (R) will win reelection over Charles Brown (D)
California 11: Rep. Richard Pombo (R) will win reelection over Jerry McNerney (D)
California 50: Rep. Brian Bilbray (R) will win reelection over Francine Busby (D)
Colorado 4: Rep. Marilyn Musgrave (R) will win reelection over Angie Paccione (D)
Colorado 7: Ed Perlmutter (D) will defeat Rick O'Donnell (R)
Connecticut 2: Rep. Rob Simmons (R) will defeat Joe Courtney (D)
Connecticut 4: Diane Farrell (D) will defeat Rep. Christopher Shays (R)
Connecticut 5: Christopher Murphy (D) will defeat Rep. Nancy Johnson (R)
Florida 13: Vern Buchanan (R) will defeat Christine Jennings (D)
Florida 16: Joe Negron (R) will defeat Tim Mahoney (D)
Florida 22: Ron Klein (D) will defeat Rep. Clay Shaw (R)
Georgia 8: Rep. Jim Marshall (D) will win reelection over Mac Collins (R)
Georgia 12: Rep. John Barrow (D) will win reelection over Max Burns (R)
Idaho 1: Bill Sali (R) will defeat Larry Grant (D)
Illinois 6: Peter Roskam (R) will defeat Tammy Duckworth (D)
Illinois 8: Rep. Melissa Bean (D) will win reelection over David McSweeney (R)
Indiana 2: Joe Donnelly (D) will defeat Rep. Chris Chocola (R)
Indiana 8: Brad Ellsworth (D) will defeat Rep. John Hostettler (R)
Indiana 9: Rep. Mike Sodrel (R) will win reelection over Baron Hill (D)
Iowa 1: Bruce Braley (D) will defeat Mike Wahlen (R)
Kentucky 2: Rep. Ron Lewis (R) will defeat Mike Weaver (D)
Kentucky 3: John Yarmuth (D) will defeat Rep. Ann Northup (R)
Kentucky 4: Rep. Geoff Davis (R) will win reelection over Ken Lucas (D)
Minnesota 1: Rep. Gil Gutknecht (R) will win reelection over Tim Walz (D)
Minnesota 2: Rep. John Kline (R) will win reelection over Colleen Rowley (D)
Minnesota 6: Michelle Bachmann (R) will defeat Patty Wetterling (D)
Nebraska 1: Rep. Jeff Fortenberry (R) will win reelection over Maxine Moul (D)
Nebraska 3: Adrian Smith (R) will defeat Scott Kleeb (D)
Nevada 2: Dean Heller (R) will defeat Jill Derby (D)
Nevada 3: Rep. Jon Porter (R) will win reelection over Tessa Hafen (D)
New Hampshire 2: Paul Hodes (D) will defeat Rep. Charles Bass (R)
New Jersey 7: Rep. Mike Ferguson (R) will win reelection over Linda Stender (D)
New Mexico 1: Patricia Madrid (D) will defeat Rep. Heather Wilson (R)
New York 19: Rep. Sue Kelly (R) will win reelection over John Hall (D)
New York 20: Rep John Sweeney (R) will win reelection over Kristin Gillibrand (D)
New York 24: Michael Arcuri (D) will defeat Raymond Meier (R)
New York 25: Rep. James Walsh (R) will win reelection over Dan Maffei (D)
New York 26: Rep. Tom Reynolds (R) will win reelection over Jack Davis (D)
New York 29: Rep. Randy Kuhl (R) will win reelection over Eric Massa (D)
North Carolina 11: Heath Schuler (D) will defeat Rep. Charles Taylor (R)
Ohio 1: Rep. Steve Chabot (R) will win reelection over John Cranley (D)
Ohio 2: Rep. Jean Schmidt (R) will win reelection over Victoria Wulsin (D)
Ohio 15: Mary Jo Kilroy (D) will defeat Rep. Deborah Pryce (R)
Ohio 18: Zack Space (D) will defeat Joy Padgett (R)
Pennsylvania 6: Lois Murphy (D) will defeat Rep. Jim Gerlach (R)
Pennsylvania 7: Joe Sestak (D) will defeat Rep. Curt Weldon (R)
Pennsylvania 8: Rep. Mike Fitzpatrick (R) will win reelection over Patrick Murphy (D)
Pennsylvania 10: Chris Carney (D) will defeat Rep. Don Sherwood (R)
Texas 22: Shelley Sekula-Gibbs (R) will defeat Nick Lampson (D)
Vermont At-Large: Peter Welch (D) will defeat Martha Rainville (R)
Virginia 2: Rep. Thelma Drake (R) will win reelection over Phil Kellam (D)
Washington 8: Rep. Dave Reichart (R) will win reelection over Darcy Burner (D)
Wisconsin 8: John Gard (R) will defeat Steve Kagan (D)
Wyoming At-Large: Rep. Barbara Cubin (R) will win reelection over Gary Trauner (D)

Seat Prediction: Democratic +18

Democratic 220
Republican 215